Analysis & Opinion

Can AI Solve Organizational Chaos Without Understanding It?

Manus + OpenAISource: Ethan Mollick - One Useful Thing28/07/2025, 08:30
Organizations operate as chaotic systems where undocumented processes, informal rules, and improvised workflows coexist in apparent disarray. Described by the Garbage Can Model, this phenomenon explains how decisions often emerge from the random collision of problems, solutions, and decision-makers rather than through rationally planned processes. AI adoption in companies has traditionally required meticulous mapping of these chaotic workflows, a lengthy and costly undertaking. However, AI research points to an alternative: the Bitter Lesson. Formulated by researcher Richard Sutton, this theory suggests that in AI development, raw computational power combined with generalized machine learning frequently outperforms elegant solutions built on human expertise — as exemplified by AlphaZero mastering chess without prior knowledge of openings or strategy. The comparison between two agentic systems illustrates this tension: Manus, built with careful engineering and extensive manual tuning, versus OpenAI's ChatGPT agent, trained with reinforcement learning focused solely on output quality. While Manus follows predefined processes, ChatGPT agent charts its own path through organizational chaos. Practical results suggest advantages for the outcome-focused approach, indicating that future organizations may bypass mapping their internal processes entirely, simply training AI to recognize and produce quality results regardless of the route taken internally.
Can AI Solve Organizational Chaos Without Understanding It? — lupAI