Plan A Introduced: Responses to International AI Development Coordination Proposal

A group of AI forecasters with strong track records unveiled "Plan A," a comprehensive proposal for preventing catastrophic outcomes from artificial superintelligence. The plan's proponents, including Daniel Kokotajlo and Ryan Greenblatt—known for accurate predictions about AI development—outline an international coordination framework to manage advanced AI risks. The proposal centers on five key elements: slowing AI development, negotiating international agreements including China, monitoring global computing resources, implementing mutual assured compute destruction as a verification mechanism, and economic projections showing significant growth before potential superintelligence by 2040. The authors provide extensive responses to common objections about implementation feasibility and whether the superintelligence threat is genuinely imminent. Critics raise diverse concerns: some argue superintelligence remains distant and the proposed costs are unjustified; others worry about geopolitical feasibility or equate compute controls with authoritarianism. Supporters contend that the plan represents the most thorough framework yet proposed for managing transformative AI, though they acknowledge full implementation is unlikely. The document attempts to address a wide range of objections and includes supplementary materials examining specific concerns. Proponents emphasize that even partial implementation could yield benefits and that serious alternatives to Plan A remain largely underdeveloped in public discourse.